
Death of the CD in five years and a glorious future for expensive music on mobile phones predicted by the guys who brought you WAP and the Rockr: the mobile industry.
Newsflash: the CD is already dead and the future of the music industry is not "mobile" but "bleak".
Ok, some people actually bought music with and to their mobile phone this year - but wait a year until they have bought a new phone and realized that they have to pay for the music all over again since they can't transfer it, you think they'll buy again?
And if you say something about phone set manufacturers and "interoperability" I dare you to find anyone who has actually managed to transfer their address book from an old phone they a new - and that is something that is supposed to work and not deliberately prevented using DRM.
Buying music to your phone will fail for the same reason that WAP, MMS and the Rockr failed: too expensive and too limited. The mobile phone operators have a great and working system for charging people - and they just can't stop squeezing it. Can you name ANY service that ANY operator offers that you would describe as "cheap"?
There will be no mass market before people are comfortable that what they buy today will still work one year from now and that the music they buy using one device will be playable on all their devices, both mobile and in their home. Something like "plays for sure" but for real.
The industry is still just trying to come up with ways to limit these things, so people will keep doing what they already have been doing for some time now: ditch their cd:s and listen to MP3 players that accepts non-DRM files.
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